Towards a good future 1

 


### **1. Declining Interest in Self-Employed/Skilled Manual Jobs**

- **Youth Aspirations vs. Reality**: Many young people prefer white-collar IT jobs over traditional skilled trades (carpentry, plumbing, masonry, etc.), viewing them as more prestigious or financially rewarding.

- **Urban Migration**: The allure of metro cities and corporate jobs has led to a shortage of skilled laborers in rural and semi-urban areas.

- **Aging Workforce**: Many skilled artisans (carpenters, masons, electricians) are aging, with fewer young people replacing them, leading to labor shortages.


**Impact**:  

- Rising costs for manual labor due to scarcity.  

- Dependence on migrant laborers in some regions.  

- Decline in local craftsmanship and self-reliance.


### **2. AI and Automation Disrupting IT Jobs**

- **Job Redundancy**: AI, machine learning, and automation are replacing routine IT jobs (coding, testing, data entry, customer support).  

- **Mass Retrenchments**: Companies are downsizing as AI tools (like ChatGPT, automated DevOps, no-code platforms) reduce the need for human labor.  

- **Skill Obsolescence**: Many IT professionals may struggle to upskill quickly enough to remain relevant.


**Impact**:  

- Unemployment crisis among IT professionals.  

- Increased competition for fewer high-skilled tech roles.  

- Economic strain on families if retrenched workers return home without alternative income sources.


### **3. The Looming Crisis: What Happens Next?**

- **Overdependence on IT Sector**: Many economies (especially in developing nations like India) have relied heavily on IT as a primary job creator. A collapse could lead to widespread unemployment.  

- **Lack of Alternative Skills**: Many IT workers lack hands-on vocational skills (farming, repairs, construction) to transition into self-employment.  

- **Parental Support Limitations**: Middle-class families may not have the financial capacity to support unemployed adult children long-term.


### **4. Possible Solutions & Future Outlook**

#### **A. Reviving Self-Employment & Skilled Trades**

- **Government Incentives**: Subsidies, loans, and training programs for trades (electricians, plumbers, carpenters).  

- **Modernizing Trades**: Incorporating tech (e.g., smart home installations, solar panel fitting) to make them more appealing.  

- **Changing Perceptions**: Promoting skilled labor as dignified and profitable through media and education.


#### **B. Adapting to AI Disruption in IT**

- **Upskilling**: IT workers must transition into AI-augmented roles (AI trainers, ethical AI specialists, cybersecurity).  

- **Hybrid Jobs**: Combining IT with other sectors (agriculture tech, healthcare IT, fintech).  

- **Entrepreneurship**: Encouraging IT professionals to start small tech-based businesses.


#### **C. Economic Diversification**

- **Localized Production**: Encouraging small-scale industries (food processing, handicrafts, renewable energy).  

- **Agriculture & Farming Tech**: Promoting organic farming, hydroponics, and dairy tech as viable careers.  

- **Service Sector Expansion**: Home healthcare, elderly care, and repair services will grow as populations age.


### **5. Long-Term Human Sustainability**

- **Self-Reliance Communities**: Villages and towns must develop sustainable micro-economies (local farming, artisans, renewable energy).  

- **Universal Basic Income (UBI)**: If automation eliminates too many jobs, governments may need UBI to ensure survival.  

- **Education Reform**: Schools should teach practical skills (farming, repairs, finance) alongside academics.


### **Conclusion: A Necessary Shift in Human Activity**

The future will likely see:  

✔ **Decline in traditional IT jobs** but rise in AI-augmented roles.  

✔ **Resurgence of skilled manual labor** as automation makes human artisans more valuable.  

✔ **Increased self-employment** in trades, agriculture, and caregiving.  

✔ **Economic rebalancing** towards sustainability over corporate-driven growth.


The "disaster" can be mitigated if societies adapt by valuing **all forms of labor**, promoting **diverse skills**, and reducing over-reliance on any single industry. The key is **flexibility and resilience** in the face of technological change.  



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